Weekly receipts

The markets whose price was most wrong this week · venue-confirmed outcomes · nothing selected on outcome

Trailing 7 days: …

What this is. Every market MarketIntel lists is snapshotted once per UTC day. When the venue confirms a result, the market is scored against the price it traded at the day before its event date (the earlier of its end date and the venue's settlement, so a pending-settlement snapshot can never carry the result). Below are the five biggest misses of the week — the favourites that lost and the long shots that hit — and, where MarketIntel had published its own call on one of them, what we said, on the record. This page measures the markets first; our own week is printed underneath so you can judge us by the same yardstick.
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The crowd's week

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MarketIntel's week

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The five biggest misses

Reproduce it

The page is rendered from one public JSON document, rebuilt every 15 minutes from the same outcome ledger as the calibration receipt. Every market links to its public page, where the venue's own settlement is shown.